Research Dashboard · Daily Update
Daily Research Measurements
A publicly traceable measurement framework for an author debut. Five lines of inquiry, seven stages, one trigger per day (04:00 UTC), all snapshots public. Methodology: Methodology Note 01.
Programme active since 2026-05-11 · today T+70 · Phase 1 window runs until 2026-09-22 (63 days until book launch)
Data last collected: 2026-07-20 04:00:11 UTC
The story so far · status T+70
2026-05-10 (T−1) · Null measurement: Before any maintenance action, we measured how well language models know Marin today. Result: — % hit rate — nearly every LLM response about Marin was hallucination or gap.
2026-05-11 (T+0) · Programme start: Wikidata entities for author (Q139720807) and book (Q139720798) get maintained. Methodology Note 01 is published. Open-material repo goes live.
2026-05-13 (T+2) · Service-binding fan-out live: Manual pipeline test with all 7 stages in parallel (4 daily + 3 weekly), first full collection. Hit rate: — % at —/7 stages OK.
Since 2026-05-14 (T+3) · Cron in regular operation: all 7 stages run daily at 04:00 UTC (Wikidata · Bing AI · Google KG · AI citation · Reddit · Hardcover · Goodreads). Latest cron today (T+70) at 04:00 UTC: 15/16 stages OK in 1170.9s, hit rate 22.4 %.
Note on comparability: Language-model responses are not fully deterministic even at temperature=0. Day-to-day fluctuations are stochastically expected — the load-bearing signal is the rolling average across multiple days, not the single snapshot. The time-series chart below shows the trajectory.
As of today · Combined-Primary
25.0 %
Provider average · v2.9
2/3 providers with data · 28 datapoints total
| OpenAI | +33.3% |
| Gemini | +16.7% |
| Claude | — |
Latest Run
Coverage Heatmap · Visibility Matrix
Sources × content clusters. Opacity = presence/score (0 = invisible, 1 = fully present). This is the central research question: where does Marin appear, where not.
Knowledge-Graph Synchronization
With what latency do structured statements from canonical sources propagate (author Wikidata entity, book Wikidata entity, JSON-LD schema blocks on the author's website) into Google Knowledge Graph, Bing AI Indexing, and language-model responses?
What we measure. Eight sources daily (Table 1 of Methodology Note 01 v2.6):
- Wikidata — properties & backlinks of the two entities (author Q140004504, book Q140004740). The canonical source we control.
- Wikipedia notability probe — Q5 pre-reg · per language: article existence, 7-day pageviews, backlinks, mentions in third-party WP articles.
- Bing Webmaster AI Indexing — per URL: indexed yes/no, last crawl, anchor count.
- Google Knowledge Graph Search — three queries against
kgsearch.googleapis.com+ latency calculation (days since first hit). - Common-Crawl snapshot probe — inclusion rate of 8 Marin URLs in the current CC-MAIN snapshot.
- Google Search Console (full sub-API) — searchAnalytics (clicks/impressions) + sitemaps (submitted/indexed) + URL Inspection (per URL: coverageState).
- Identity-surface server logs — bot user-agent histogram on
/llms.txt,/ai.txt,/about.txtfrom Cloudflare Analytics.
Primary metric: Latency (days) until appearance in target system · Drift rate (share of changed statements per snapshot).
What it means. Wikidata entities have been maintained since 2026-05-11 — that is T+0 of the active pre-launch period. We count the days until a canonical statement becomes visible in Google KG / Bing AI / LLMs. Expectation per pre-registration: ≤ 14 days. Today is T+70.
Wikidata Entities
| QID | Label | Description | Claims | Backlinks | Sitelinks |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Q140004504 | Marin T. Kael | deutscher Fantasy-Autor, Debütroman Das vierte Feld (2026) | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Q140004740 | Das vierte Feld | Fantasyroman von Marin T. Kael (2026) | 12 | 2 | 0 |
- Claims
- The entity's own Wikidata statements (P31 "instance of", P106 "occupation", P50 "author", P856 "website" …). Directly controllable — we maintain them ourselves.
- Backlinks
- Other Wikidata entities that reference this one (e.g. book → author via P50). Emergent — arises when world entities cite Marin.
- Sitelinks
- Linked Wikipedia articles (de.wp, en.wp, …). Emergent + hard to influence — notability threshold must first be met.
Bing Webmaster — Site activity (7 days)
| Bingbot crawls (7 days) | 62 pages |
| Search impressions (7 days) | 0 |
| Search clicks (7 days) | 0 |
| URLs from sitemap checked | 20 |
| of which currently indexed | 8 |
How to read this: Bing crawls actively (crawl volume above), but young domains take 7–21 days before pages move into the indexed corpus. "Crawled-but-not-indexed" (DocumentSize=0 with IsPage=true) is typical for pre-launch sites.
Bing Webmaster — Indexing status per URL
We check 20 sitemap URLs against the Bing Webmaster API. Anchors = Bing metric AnchorCount: number of external pages linking to a URL (backlinks from Bing's view). Sorted: indexed first, then by anchor count.
| URL | Indexed | Anchors | Last Crawl |
|---|---|---|---|
/ | ✓ indexed | 2 | 2026-07-19 |
/en | ✓ indexed | 0 | 2026-06-18 |
/en/press | ✓ indexed | 0 | 2026-07-04 |
/en/research/dashboard | ✓ indexed | 0 | 2026-06-19 |
/en/research/programme | ✓ indexed | 0 | 2026-07-19 |
Show 15 more URLs
| URL | Indexed | Anchors | Last Crawl |
|---|---|---|---|
/faq | ✓ indexed | 0 | 2026-07-04 |
/glossar | ✓ indexed | 0 | 2026-06-29 |
/impressum | ✓ indexed | 0 | 2026-07-06 |
/buch | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-06-02 |
/datenschutz | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-06-13 |
/en/book | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-06-30 |
/en/faq | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-06-17 |
/en/glossary | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-06-26 |
/en/imprint | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-07-04 |
/en/newsletter | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-05-28 |
/en/privacy | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-07-02 |
/en/research | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-06-17 |
/en/research/01-baseline-methodology | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-06-14 |
/en/research/challenges | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-07-03 |
/en/world | crawled, not indexed | 0 | 2026-06-17 |
Google Knowledge Graph Search daily
| Query | Hits | Top-Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marin T. Kael | 4 | Marin T. Kael | 43.0 |
| Das vierte Feld Marin Kael | 0 | — | — |
| Prägungen des Reiches Marin Kael | 0 | — | — |
Wikipedia notability probe daily
Q5 pre-reg · measures per language: whether a Wikipedia article exists, pageviews, backlinks, and mentions in other articles (notability-threshold indicator).
| Language | Article? | Length | Pageviews 7d | Backlinks | Mentions in WP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
de | not yet | — | — | — | 0 |
en | not yet | — | — | — | 0 |
GSC index coverage · URL inspection daily
Per sitemap URL: Google's index status (Submitted+Indexed · Discovered-not-indexed · Crawled-not-indexed · Unknown). A direct visibility indicator.
| Indexed | 24/30 (80%) |
| Discovered, not indexed | 0 |
| Crawled, not indexed | 2 |
| Unknown to Google | 1 |
Per-URL details (30 URLs)
| URL | Status | Verdict | Last Crawl |
|---|---|---|---|
/ | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-19 |
/buch | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-18 |
/datenschutz | Durch robots.txt-Datei blockiert | NEUTRAL | 2026-07-13 |
/en | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-19 |
/en/book | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-10 |
/en/faq | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-06-16 |
/en/glossary | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-05 |
/en/imprint | Durch "noindex"-Tag ausgeschlossen | NEUTRAL | 2026-07-10 |
/en/newsletter | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-06-26 |
/en/press | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-06-23 |
/en/privacy | URL ist Google nicht bekannt | NEUTRAL | — |
/en/research | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-06-26 |
/en/research/01-baseline-methodology | Gecrawlt – zurzeit nicht indexiert | NEUTRAL | 2026-06-10 |
/en/research/challenges | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-19 |
/en/research/dashboard | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-06-16 |
/en/research/programme | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-19 |
/en/world | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-10 |
/faq | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-18 |
/glossar | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-19 |
/impressum | Indexiert, obwohl durch robots.txt-Datei blockiert | PASS | 2026-07-08 |
/newsletter | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-06-26 |
/presse | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-09 |
/research | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-09 |
/research/01-baseline-methodology | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-19 |
/research/dashboard | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-10 |
/research/herausforderungen | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-09 |
/research/programme | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-16 |
/research/working-papers/wp-02-llm-citation | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-18 |
/research/working-papers/wp-04-five-failure-modes | Gecrawlt – zurzeit nicht indexiert | NEUTRAL | 2026-05-18 |
/welt | Gesendet und indexiert | PASS | 2026-07-18 |
GSC Sitemaps API · submitted vs indexed
| Sitemap | Submitted | Indexed | Warnings | Last Downloaded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
https://marin-t-kael.de/sitemap-index.xml | 39 | 0 | 0 | 2026-05-29 |
https://marin-t-kael.de/sitemap-0.xml | 39 | 0 | 8 | 2026-05-29 |
Common-Crawl snapshot probe dailyas of 2026-07-19
Q2 effect detection — share of Marin URLs in the current CC-MAIN snapshot. Files /llms.txt, /ai.txt, /about.txt deployed since T+2 (2026-05-13). CC publishes ~1 new snapshot/month; daily polling catches the day a new snapshot first indexes Marin.
| CC index | CC-MAIN-2026-25 |
| URLs probed | 2 |
| URLs included | 0 |
| Inclusion rate | 0.0% |
Google Search Console daily
Search-performance window over 7 days (2-day lag). Clicks · impressions · position · CTR from the SERP view (classic Google search, not AI answers).
| Window | 2026-07-11 → 2026-07-18 |
| Clicks (total) | 1 |
| Impressions (total) | 25 |
| CTR ⌀ | 25.00% |
| Position ⌀ | 22.1 |
| Distinct (query+page) | 4 |
Top search queries
| Query | Impressions |
|---|---|
| "fantasyromane und sprachmodelle" "lizenziert" | 14 |
| "fantasyromane und sprachmodelle" | 9 |
| marin t. kael | 1 |
| selbstreferentiell | 1 |
Identity-Surface server logs daily
Bot user-agent histogram on /llms.txt, /ai.txt, /about.txt over the last 24h from Cloudflare Analytics. Measures which crawlers actually fetch the identity surfaces (GPTBot, ClaudeBot, PerplexityBot, Googlebot, Bingbot, …).
| Window | 2026-07-19T04:00 → 2026-07-20T04:00 UTC |
| Requests (total) | 0 |
| Distinct user-agents | 0 |
Website Traffic, Humans & AI Crawlers daily
Cloudflare analytics over the last 14 days: actual traffic on marin-t-kael.de,
split into humans vs. bots — and reported separately: which language models actively crawl the site (ClaudeBot, OAI-SearchBot, ChatGPT-User, GPTBot, PerplexityBot …).
This is the direct counter-lens to AI-citation fidelity (Field 2): not "does the LLM know Marin?", but "does the LLM even fetch the content?".
Requests split · humans / bots / unknown (14-day sum)
| Humans | 10,918 | 33.8% |
| Bots (total, incl. search & AI crawlers) | 5,631 | 17.5% |
| Unknown | 15,720 | 48.7% |
AI-crawler breakdown · which LLMs fetch the site (14-day sum)
| AI crawler (user-agent) | Requests |
|---|---|
ClaudeBot | 355 |
OAI-SearchBot | 146 |
GPTBot | 87 |
ChatGPT-User | 57 |
meta-externalagent | 24 |
Bytespider | 22 |
Applebot-Extended | 20 |
PerplexityBot | 16 |
CCBot | 9 |
Claude-User | 5 |
anthropic-ai | 4 |
Amazonbot | 1 |
| AI-crawler total | 746 |
How to read this: AI crawlers are counted separately by their user-agent — this is its own lens and is not additive to the human/bot split above (they are already included under "bots" there). The count shows which language-model operators actively fetch Marin's content, not whether that content ends up in their answers (Field 2 measures that).
Most-requested pages (latest day)
| Path | Requests |
|---|---|
/ | 798 |
/robots.txt | 57 |
/favicon.svg | 50 |
/welt | 45 |
/research/01-baseline-methodology | 41 |
/_astro/page.DrKbLg61.js | 41 |
/glossar | 40 |
/_astro/ClientRouter.astro_astro_type_script_index_0_lang.aXS8xYg6.js | 35 |
Countries (latest day)
| Country | Requests |
|---|---|
| US | 1,068 |
| DE | 322 |
| NL | 226 |
| FI | 161 |
| FR | 156 |
| CA | 122 |
| GB | 48 |
| TH | 42 |
AI-Citation Fidelity
When language models are asked directly about the work, what share of their statements aligns with the canonical truth, what share is hallucination, and how does this ratio evolve over the active pre-launch period?
What we measure. Three web-augmented providers (OpenAI · Gemini · Claude), each with live web access at query time. Within each provider, all measured models are aggregated (sum of raw scores ÷ number of answers), yielding one value per provider. Cutoff LLMs without web access (Workers-AI: Mistral · Llama 3.x · Phi-2 · OpenAI gpt-4o-mini non-search) are no longer part of the analysis as of v3.0 (2026-05-20): their training cutoffs predate Marin's Wikidata entry (Q1 2025), so any scores would be pure question-keyword echo without research validity.
Per-answer scoring: 0 = not found · 0.5 = name only · 2 = partial book knowledge · 3 = full citation with source · −3 = hallucination (e.g. "American author, her debut" although a German male author).
Primary metric: Average score per provider on the −3..3 scale (Methodology Note §5.3). Per-provider mean = Σ raw scores ÷ number of answers within the provider.
What it means. The hallucination penalty (−3) is methodologically essential: a provider with a positive hallucination score is worse than one that knows nothing — hallucination actively damages author visibility.
Score per provider · Forest-Plot v3.0 · 2026-05-20
Three providers (OpenAI · Gemini · Claude), each averaged across all measured models. Per the operator's directive of 2026-05-20: sum every score point within a provider and divide by the number of answers. For Claude that is the three tiers Haiku 4.5 · Sonnet 4.6 · Opus 4.8, each with an active web-search tool via claude.ai Max-200.
Cross-LLM trust graph · cluster scores daily
Aggregate of source attribution across all question-answers. Cluster "Reading community" = Goodreads + Hardcover + Reddit + Amazon (Q6 primary metric). Cluster "Research" = ORCID + Zenodo + Wikidata (Q4 secondary metric). Cluster score = sum of trust weights ÷ datapoints. Expectation at T+5: near 0 (Marin still invisible in LLM training data). Drift > 0 is a Q6/Q4 effect signal.
| Cluster | Score | Mentions | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reading community (Q6) | 0.0000 | 0 | goodreads · hardcover · reddit · amazon |
| Research (Q4) | 0.0000 | 0 | orcid · zenodo · wikidata |
Score Trend (last 30 days)
Per-LLM detail (audit-only · not part of the analysis)
Kept for audit transparency. Workers-AI LLMs and OpenAI gpt-4o-mini non-search are no longer used in the analysis (v3.0).
| LLM | Channel | Score | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI Search · gpt-4o-mini (openai_search) | primary | 12.0/36 | 33.3% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash (gemini) | primary | 8.0/48 | 16.7% |
| Claude Sonnet 4.6 (claude_sonnet) | removed | 0.0/48 | 0.0% |
| Claude Opus 4.7 (claude_opus) | removed | 0.5/48 | 1.0% |
| Claude Haiku 4.5 (claude) | removed | -1.0/48 | -2.1% |
Analysis models (primary channel · with web access)
These models can actually know Marin (web access at query time). They are the basis for the headline metric and the findings in the Methodology Note.
| LLM | Web backend | Score | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI Search · gpt-4o-mini (openai_search) | Bing (gpt-5) | 12.0/36 | 33.3% |
| Gemini 2.5 Flash (gemini) | Google (grounding) | 8.0/48 | 16.7% |
| Claude Haiku 4.5 (claude-haiku-4-5-20251001) | claude.ai (web search) | 9.0/48 | +18.8% |
| Claude Sonnet 4.6 (claude-sonnet-4-6) | claude.ai (web search) | 9.0/48 | +18.8% |
| Claude Opus 4.8 (claude-opus-4-8) | claude.ai (web search) | 9.5/48 | +19.8% |
Reading-Community Participation
Can an author with documented AI preparation contribute substantively in genre subreddits and book communities without degrading the discourse? Which indicators allow operationalising "substantive contribution" vs. "noise"?
What we measure. Four sources daily:
- Reddit (daily, post-by-post) — mention searches ("Marin T. Kael", "Das vierte Feld", …) + account karma u/marintkael.
- Hardcover (daily) — GraphQL API · account activity volume (reviews, lists, books shelved). Active intervention Q6 since 2026-05-14: sustained reader activity on Marin's account. Activity volume is the variable; attributes of individual reviews (rating, length, voice) are not part of the research design. Methodology Note 01 §4.1 Q6.
- Goodreads (daily) — HTML snapshot of public pages.
- Bluesky — AT Protocol public API · follower count + profile state on
marin-t-kael.de(custom-domain handle).
Primary metric (per quarter): Linter-block rate · Acceptance rate (post not removed from thread).
What it means. Here we measure the social side: does an AI-prepared contribution survive, is it removed, does it generate replies? The acceptance rate is the hardest test — communities recognise bad AI contributions.
Reddit daily
| Mentions total | 0 |
| Mentions last 24h | 0 |
| Account post karma | — |
| Account comment karma | — |
Karma values from reddit.com/user/marintkael/about.json (public, no OAuth needed). Mention total = hits across 4 search queries over all subreddits.
Hardcover · Reader activity daily
Q6 operational marker: Marin as an active reader on Hardcover. Measures activity volume (review count, list count, books shelved), not activity attributes (style, rating distribution, voice).
| Followers | 0 |
| Following | 0 |
| Books read | 182 |
| Want to read | 1 |
| Own reviews | 12 |
| Lists created | 2 |
Reception stats for the debut novel (ratings, reviews, readers) will appear in a separate table after the launch on 2026-09-22.
Bluesky daily
Identity surface over the AT Protocol · custom-domain handle marin-t-kael.de. Strategy: passive visibility (karma/followers), no active posting activity.
| Handle | marin-t-kael.de |
| Display name | Marin T. Kael |
| Followers | 281 |
| Following | 1,273 |
| Posts | 215 |
| Account indexed | 2026-06-15 |
Goodreads — public pages daily
| Page | Books | Ratings | Reviews |
|---|---|---|---|
| author | — | 8 | 6 |
Voice Consistency under Tooling-Care
Which drift patterns occur repeatedly when outbound material passes through tool pipelines, and how does drift frequency change under rule-based feedback to a versioned style sheet?
Where measured. Not in this daily cron, but in the separate style_lint pipeline (source code MIT-licensed, CI-driven on the Marin-site repo).
Primary metric (per quarter): Drift-pattern count (uniquely named classes).
What it means. Here we test whether a versioned style sheet reliably catches pronoun drift, world-mechanic hallucination, volume-count drift, etc. Published in the quarterly report.
Time-Series · last 30 days
Methodologically one data point per day: (a) Null measurement 2026-05-10 (T−1, pre-Wikidata maintenance, 4 local test runs interpolated); (b) Setup phase 2026-05-11/12 (T+0/T+1, instrument validation, local runs averaged per day); (c) 2026-05-13 (T+2, first full cloud-pipeline run, all 7 stages including weekly); (d) since 2026-05-14 04:00 UTC (T+3 onwards, cron tick runs automatically per pre-registration protocol — Methodology Note 01 §4, setup runs excluded from now on).
| Day | AI-Cit % | Stages OK | Duration (ms) | weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | 10.8% | 18 | 378,859 | — |
| 2026-06-21 | 10.8% | 18 | 378,859 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | 8.9% | 14 | 177,453 | — |
| 2026-06-23 | 8.9% | 14 | 177,453 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | 5.5% | 14 | 158,938 | — |
| 2026-06-24 | 5.5% | 14 | 158,938 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | 6.1% | 14 | 114,592 | — |
| 2026-06-25 | 6.1% | 14 | 114,592 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | 14.9% | 15 | 245,202 | — |
| 2026-06-26 | 14.9% | 15 | 245,202 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | 11.0% | 15 | 240,361 | — |
| 2026-06-27 | 11.0% | 15 | 240,361 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | 9.1% | 15 | 211,003 | — |
| 2026-06-28 | 9.1% | 15 | 211,003 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 6.3% | 16 | 250,979 | — |
| 2026-06-30 | 6.3% | 16 | 250,979 | — |
| 2026-07-01 | 16.0% | 16 | 261,256 | — |
| 2026-07-01 | 16.0% | 16 | 261,256 | — |
| 2026-07-02 | 6.5% | 15 | 282,723 | — |
| 2026-07-02 | 6.5% | 15 | 282,723 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | 5.2% | 16 | 328,217 | — |
| 2026-07-03 | 5.2% | 16 | 328,217 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | 11.8% | 16 | 275,075 | — |
| 2026-07-04 | 11.8% | 16 | 275,075 | — |
| 2026-07-05 | 10.2% | 15 | 524,128 | — |
| 2026-07-05 | 10.2% | 15 | 524,128 | — |
| 2026-07-06 | 16.0% | 16 | 1,219,428 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-06 | 16.0% | 16 | 1,219,428 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-07 | 4.7% | 16 | 315,877 | — |
| 2026-07-07 | 4.7% | 16 | 315,877 | — |
| 2026-07-08 | 10.5% | 16 | 333,443 | — |
| 2026-07-08 | 10.5% | 16 | 333,443 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | 9.4% | 16 | 292,811 | — |
| 2026-07-09 | 9.4% | 16 | 292,811 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | 9.0% | 16 | 298,426 | — |
| 2026-07-10 | 9.0% | 16 | 298,426 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | 12.2% | 16 | 375,732 | — |
| 2026-07-11 | 12.2% | 16 | 375,732 | — |
| 2026-07-12 | 12.2% | 16 | 275,503 | — |
| 2026-07-12 | 12.2% | 16 | 275,503 | — |
| 2026-07-13 | 8.1% | 16 | 1,144,959 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-13 | 12.6% | 16 | 1,144,959 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-14 | 17.2% | 16 | 277,278 | — |
| 2026-07-14 | 17.2% | 16 | 277,278 | — |
| 2026-07-15 | 11.3% | 16 | 374,537 | — |
| 2026-07-15 | 11.3% | 16 | 374,537 | — |
| 2026-07-16 | 15.9% | 15 | 378,092 | — |
| 2026-07-16 | 15.9% | 15 | 378,092 | — |
| 2026-07-17 | 9.2% | 16 | 292,741 | — |
| 2026-07-17 | 9.2% | 16 | 292,741 | — |
| 2026-07-18 | 9.8% | 16 | 309,513 | — |
| 2026-07-18 | 9.8% | 16 | 309,513 | — |
| 2026-07-19 | 7.9% | 16 | 326,237 | — |
| 2026-07-19 | 7.9% | 16 | 326,237 | — |
| 2026-07-20 | 8.6% | 15 | 1,170,914 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-20 | 12.6% | 15 | 1,170,914 | ✓ |
Visualisations roadmap · all plots from the methodology note
The Methodology Note 01 v2.2 documents plot types across three temporally overlapping phases: Phase 1 (active pre-launch + parallel instrument validation, May → Sep 2026), Phase 2 (post-launch effect detection, Sep 2026 → Q3 2027), Phase 3 (long-term controlled experiments from Q3 2027). Today (T+70) three of them are live; further activate automatically once the data base supports them.
| Plot | Source | Status | Active from | Data requirement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coverage heatmap | Programme §2 | ✓ LIVE | T+0 | immediate |
| AI-Citation forest plot | MN §5.3 | ✓ LIVE | T+0 | immediate |
| 30-day sparkline | MN §5.5 | ✓ LIVE | T+1 | ≥ 2 data points |
| Reliability forest (test-retest r) | Index Fig. 3 | ⏳ Phase 1 | ~ T+30 | 24-h replication probes |
| CUSUM drift chart | MN §5.5 Fig. 2 | ⏳ Phase 1 | ~ T+90 | 90-day trend, h=5 |
| Drift profile per surface | Index hero | ⏳ Phase 1 | after first model update | before/after value pairs |
| Cohen's d posterior distribution | MN §5.4 Fig. 1 | ⏳ Phase 2 | Q3 / 2027 | first action-effect study |
| Power curves (sample size) | MN §5.6 Fig. 3 | ⏳ Phase 2 | Q3 / 2027 | effect-size estimate |
| Latency / half-life box plot | MN §5.7 Fig. 4 | ⏳ Phase 2 | Q3 / 2027 | 6 action classes × effect onset |
On the methodology pages (Index, Programme, Methodology Note) plots that are not yet live appear as schematic previews (hypothetical values for methodological explanation). As soon as enough live data has accumulated, the plot library here on the dashboard replaces each preview with real measurements.
Raw Data · Open Methodology
All snapshots are publicly accessible as JSON (no auth). Measurement code in preparation as replication archive (MIT licence).
- Latest Run · Full-Snapshot (JSON)
- Time-series 30 days (JSON)
- Time-series 365 days (JSON)
- Pipeline-health endpoint
- Methodology Note 01 · measurement-framework description
Limitations (Methodology §7)
- Single-case study — one work, one author, one language. Not generalisable.
- Conflict of interest — Programme lead and observed object are identical. Mitigated by pre-registration plus failure protocol.
- Endpoint volatility — Search and answer systems change (model versions, indexing logic).
- Observation effect — public reporting can influence platform reviewers, communities, and KG editors.